Het is heel erg, zegt Roubini. Misschien (?!)

donderdag, 02 september 2010 om 00:00
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Tijd voor een onvertaalde dr. Doom. U heeft vast over hem gelezen, maar nog niet van hem. With growth nearly stalled, an unstable disequilibrium arises that is likely to tip the economy into a double-dip recession. The unemployment rate climbs, the budget deficit widens because of automatic stabilizers, home prices keep falling, bank losses are much larger and protectionist pressures come to a boil. Stock markets could sharply correct, and credit and interbank spreads could widen as risk aversion increases. A negative feedback loop between the real economy and the financial system could easily tip the economy into a formal double dip: The real economy reaches a near-stall speed and risky asset prices correct downward, leading to a negative wealth effect, a higher cost of capital and reduced business, consumer and investor confidence.
En de media koppen dan: Roubini voorspelt recessie
Bron(nen): Forbes